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This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. The new survey from FrederickPolls, COMPETE Digital and AMMPolitical shows both Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Challenge Herschel Walker tied at 50 percent each ahead of the Dec. 6 runoff. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. *Incumbent. Former college football star and current senatorial candidate Herschel Walker speaks at a rally, as former U.S. President Donald Trump applauds, in Perry, Georgia, U.S. September 25, 2021. ET, approximately 800,000 votes had already been logged, Gabriel Sterling told reporters at a press conference. Warnock led Walker by about 37,000 votes out of about 4 million cast in the general election but fell short of the majority required under Georgia law, triggering a four-week runoff blitz. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. But total early-voter turnout was still down from the prior Senate runoff in Georgia, data show. Democrats scored upset victories there in the 2020 presidential election and in two U.S. Senate elections in January, 2021, when Warnock pulled off a surprise over Republican Senator Kelly Loeffler in the special election. But now, Warnock's race is expected to deliver a final verdict on whether Georgia, a former Republican stronghold that former President Donald Trump won by 5 points, is really a swing state. . Maggie Astor . Georgians did not let the shortened early moving period keep them from turning out in records numbers. Albert Sun Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto ORourke. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Todays voting will decide the balance of power in Congress. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. Raphael Warnock has a 5-point lead over Herschel Walker in high-stakes Georgia Senate contest, while Brian Kemp is ahead 6 points against Stacey Abrams in the governor's race: poll. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. The Georgia Senate runoff remains too close to call, but Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock is leading his Republican challenger Herschel Walker, NBC News projected. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. Monday, Warnock appeared in suburban Cobb County with musician Dave Matthews, who praised Warnock as a "decent man." The national environment. Lazaro Gamio Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. The Secretary of State's office reported that more than 207,000 Georgians cast their early voting ballots despite extensive lines on Monday. , Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, defeated Doug Mastriano, a Trump-backed election denier, in the race for Pennsylvanias governor. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. "The embarrassment is just going to keep growing over this," Laura Harth, the campaign director at Safeguard Defenders, told Newsweek. Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. Walker denied the allegations, even as his adult son Christian Walker castigated his father on social media. Walker spoke for approximately three minutes. Warnock's strong social media presence stood in stark contrast to Republican Herschel Walker, whose campaign did not appear to have posted any original tweets as of 5:30 p.m. on voting day. Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. His Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is backed by Donald Trump. Warnock also benefits from women under 55 years old while. This time, Senate control is not in play, with Democrats already having secured 50 seats to go with Vice President Kamala Harriss tiebreaking vote. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock defeated Republican football star Herschel Walker on Tuesday in Georgias Senate runoff election, handing President Joe Biden and his party a key win. The pro-Trump PAC Make America Great Again Inc. was launched in the buildup to Trump's Nov. 15 announcement of his 2024 run for president. So I want to say, I am never going to stop fighting for Georgia," said Walker, who was a resident of Texas until he launched his campaign in Georgia. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Democratic advertisers spent $57.2 million in the runoff period, versus $27.3 million from GOP advertisers. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. Georgia saw "very strong turnout," Raffensperger said, adding, "It's been a smooth process.". Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. It could have been narrowed further, but the Warnock campaignwon a state lawsuitto allow early voting on the weekend after Thanksgiving. According to FiveThirtyEight's national poll average, Warnock is slightly ahead of Walker by just over 2 points (47.4 percent to 45 percent). Alicia Parlapiano , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. He thanked his wife, Julie, and his campaign staff. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. "We are seeing no lines and pretty sizable turnout," he said. Nov. 8, 2022, Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. A voter casts his ballot during early voting in the runoff U.S. Senate election between Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger Herschel Walker, at a polling center in Columbus, Georgia, November 28, 2022. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. It was a similar picture when respondents were asked about President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, with 41 percent having a favorable view of the Democrat and 59 percent with an unfavorable opinion. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. "We're going to win," Biden told reporters as he deplaned from Air Force One following a day trip to Arizona. votes. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images). Elsewhere, Warnock has a 43 percent unfavorable rating among potential Georgia voters, and a net positive rating of 51 percent. Warnock's win gives Democrats a bit more control in the almost evenly split Senate with 51 votes, and it may make it easier for U.S. President Joe Biden to get bills passed over the next two years of his term. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. More than half of the voters in his own . According to FiveThirtyEight's national poll average, Warnock is slightly ahead of Walker by just over 2 points (47.4 percent to 45 percent). . . Voters who are in line at the Salem Baptist Church by 7:45 P.M. will be permitted to vote. A spokesman for the MAGA Inc. PAC did not return a request for comment. Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. John Fetterman. That could be because voters in the current runoff election had fewer days to cast their ballots about one week, compared with the nearly three weeks offered in the prior cycle. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. The suit brought by the civil rights group sought additional time for voting after early-morning issues delayed voters' ability to cast ballots by 45 minutes, the group said. Democrats have outspent Republicans in the runoff campaign. "The people have spoken.". A Division of NBCUniversal. Herschel Walker Raphael Warnock Paul Pelosi David Depape; . He is a good god. The incumbent president will be 81 on Election Day 2024. While Warnock got more votes than Walker, third-party candidate Chase Oliver, a Libertarian, secured just over 2% of the vote, keeping either of the two main contenders from clinching a majority, according to NBC News' count. Lazaro Gamio 51 49. . 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. Two hours after polls opened, turnout at the state's 2,400 polling locations had exceeded 250,000 votes cast, Sterling tweeted at the time. 15%. The latest figures are yet another indication that the Georgia Senate race could go down to the wire. "TeamHerschel.com/VOTE," read part of Ye's post on Instagram, a Meta-owned social media platform that had restricted his account multiple times in recent months. Lauren Leatherby Senator Rev. Warnock's victory over Walker will give Democrats a 51-49 majority in the Senate, a potentially crucial boost that caps much-better-than-expected midterm elections for the party in control of the White House. The Senate runoff election in Georgia between Sen. Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker is too early to call, NBC News projected. He added, "Our big concern has always been the lone wolf who's still angry about what happened in 2020 being stirred up by conspiracy theorists.". "They had them in a jaws of life," Sterling said on CNN. Senator Raphael Warnock, whose victory in a 2021 runoff helped Democrats gain control of the Senate and made him the first Black senator from Georgia, is being challenged by Herschel Walker, a former football star and Trump-backed Republican. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images), Alex Wong | Getty Images News | Getty Images, NORCROSS, GEORGIA - DECEMBER 06: Georgia Democratic Senate candidate U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) speaks to supporters during a pre-canvassing event December 6, 2022 in Norcross, Georgia. About an hour after the 7 p.m. Georgia Democratic Senate candidate U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) speaks during a campaign rally on November 30, 2022 in Albany, Georgia. Warnock and Walker appeared to be neck and neck with 72% of the expected vote tallied. Ye had expressed support for Walker days earlier during an interview with right-wing conspiracy media outlet Infowars on Thursday. Ye, the rapper once known as Kanye West who has been broadly denounced over a string of virulently anti-Semitic remarks, earlier Tuesday posted an image of Herschel Walker along with a get-out-the-vote message. Warnock won a special election and now is seeking a full six-year term. Nate Cohn Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. Sen. Raphael Warnock is projected to beat Republican challenger Herschel Walker in the state's runoff election to win a full six-year term in the Senate, according to NBC News. At that time, some high-population areas, including heavily Democratic Fulton and Dekalb Counties, still had large chunks of the vote left to be counted. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. All the time, he is a good god. Heres how it works By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. Lazaro Gamio The unknown question is to what extent Republican enthusiasm on Election Day is able to overcome the Democratic advantage in early voting," said Murray. Less than two weeks before the midterms,a second woman came forwardto claim Walker had pushed her to get an abortion. The poll. Poll tracker FiveThirtyEight rates the race a toss-up, but gives Warnock 54 chances in 100 of winning. State officials say that counting all of the votes may take several days. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. As part of the state's election readiness, Sterling said Georgia had launched a new poll worker text response program that "poll managers could use to notify us at the state level, their elections directors and local law enforcement if any actual threat" emerged on Election Day. . Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. In Floridas closely watched governors race, Gov. Nov. 8, 2022. , The Hillbilly Elegy author and Republican J.D. See the full forecast . Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. Local residents wait in line to cast their ballots during the midterm runoff elections at Central Baptist Church in Columbus, Georgia, U.S., December 6, 2022. The senator enjoyed 51 percent support to the Republican's 49 percenta two-point marginwhile 4. This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. . What we expect this year Heisman Trophy winner and Republican candidate for US Senate Herschel Walker speaks at a rally on May 23, 2022 in Athens, Georgia. "Both of the poll workers are okay, they turned down medical attention to go to the hospital but they were able to retrieve that vote card" and turned it over to the county authorities on time, he said. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. Alicia Parlapiano The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. "This the kind of stuff that happens on Election Day, because you have thousands of people out there doing their jobs.". Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. Nov. 8, 2022, Rural counties in Virginias 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. Beto ORourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. A new poll gives. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their That puts pressure on both Warnock and Walker to convince Georgia voters that its worth their time to cast a second ballot, even if the national stakes arent as high. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. Herschel Walker and Sen. Raphael Warnock are in a tight Georgia Senate race ahead of their debate, a pair of new polls showed. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. U.S. Republican Senate candidate for Georgia, Herschel Walker (L), in September, 2022, and U.S. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) holds a narrow 2 percentage point lead over Republican rival Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff, according to a new survey from Emerson College Polling and . Georgia has long been considered a deep red state. As of 2 p.m. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. Among other voters likely to cast their votes using mail-in ballots within the next two weeks, 52 percent said they will back Warnock compared to 44 percent who said they would vote for Walker. The Democratic incumbent held a narrow lead, 50.4% to 49.6%, over the GOP challenger, according to NBC's latest count of the race. Heres who won A new poll shows why the U.S. Senate race in Georgia between Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is so close.

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